Kelly Criterion Calculator

Calculate the optimal bet size based on your edge and bankroll. The Kelly Criterion maximizes long-term growth while managing risk.

What is the Kelly Criterion?

The Kelly Criterion is a mathematical formula that determines the optimal bet size to maximize long-term bankroll growth. It balances the desire to bet big when you have an edge with the need to avoid catastrophic losses.

Fractional Kelly: Most professional bettors use half or quarter Kelly to reduce variance and account for uncertainty in their probability estimates.

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Responsible Gambling

Gambling should be entertaining, not a way to make money. Only bet what you can afford to lose, and never chase your losses.

Signs of problem gambling:
  • Betting more than you can afford to lose
  • Chasing losses with bigger bets
  • Lying to others about gambling habits