How to Calculate Vig from Odds

Master the math behind sportsbook margins. Learn to calculate the vig on any bet and find the best value across sportsbooks.

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Vig Analysis Tools

What is the Vig (Vigorish)?

The vig (short for vigorish), also called juice or hold, is the sportsbook's built-in profit margin on every bet. It's how sportsbooks guarantee they make money regardless of which side wins.

The Simple Explanation

In a perfectly fair market, a 50/50 coin flip would have +100 odds on both sides (bet $100 to win $100). But sportsbooks charge -110 on each side instead.

Fair Market (No Vig)

Heads: +100 / Tails: +100

Bet $100, Win $100 (2.0 decimal)

Real Sportsbook (With Vig)

Heads: -110 / Tails: -110

Bet $110, Win $100 (1.91 decimal)

That extra $10 you have to risk? That's the vig. It's about 4.55% on standard -110/-110 odds.

The Vig Formula: Step-by-Step

Here's how to calculate the vig on any two-way market (spread, total, moneyline):

Step 1: Convert to Implied Probability

For negative odds (favorites):

Implied Prob = |Odds| ÷ (|Odds| + 100)

Example: -110 → 110 ÷ 210 = 52.38%

For positive odds (underdogs):

Implied Prob = 100 ÷ (Odds + 100)

Example: +150 → 100 ÷ 250 = 40.00%

Step 2: Add Both Probabilities (Overround)

In a fair market, probabilities add to exactly 100%. With vig, they add to more than 100%.

Overround = Side 1 Prob + Side 2 Prob

Example: 52.38% + 52.38% = 104.76%

Step 3: Calculate the Vig Percentage

The vig is the percentage the book takes from the total market:

Vig % = (Overround - 100) ÷ Overround × 100

Example: (104.76 - 100) ÷ 104.76 × 100 = 4.55%

Complete Worked Example

Let's calculate the vig on an NFL spread: Chiefs -3.5 (-115) vs Raiders +3.5 (-105)

Step 1: Convert to Implied Probability

Chiefs -115:

115 ÷ 215 = 53.49%

Raiders -105:

105 ÷ 205 = 51.22%

Step 2: Calculate Overround

53.49% + 51.22% = 104.71%

Step 3: Calculate Vig

(104.71 - 100) ÷ 104.71 × 100 = 4.50%

Result: 4.50% Vig

This is slightly below standard, meaning this is a decent line to bet compared to -110/-110 (4.55% vig).

Typical Vig by Market Type

Not all markets have the same vig. Here's what to expect:

Market TypeTypical VigStandard OddsNotes
NFL/NBA Spreads4-5%-110/-110Most liquid, lowest vig
Totals (O/U)4-5%-110/-110Similar to spreads
Moneylines4-8%VariesMore vig on big favorites
Player Props5-10%-115/-115Higher vig, more edge
Parlays (SGP)10-25%CorrelatedHidden in correlation pricing
Futures15-40%Multi-wayEarly value, high vig

Watch for Hidden Vig

Same Game Parlays (SGPs) often have 15-25% hidden vig built into the correlation pricing. Use our SGP Calculator to check the true value.

Comparing Vig Across Sportsbooks

Different sportsbooks charge different vig. Here's a general comparison:

CategoryTypical VigBreak-Even Win %Examples
Sharp Books2-3%51.0-51.5%Pinnacle, Circa, Bookmaker
Reduced Juice2.5-3.5%51.2-51.7%BetRivers -109, Bet365
Standard Retail4-5%52.3-52.5%DraftKings, FanDuel, Caesars
High Vig Books6-8%53.0-54.0%Some smaller books

The Long-Term Impact

Over 1,000 bets at $100 each with a 53% win rate:

At -110 (4.55% vig)

+$618

profit

At -105 (2.44% vig)

+$1,671

profit

Difference

+$1,053

extra profit

Finding -105 instead of -110 is worth over $1,000 per 1,000 bets. This is why line shopping matters.

Calculating No-Vig (True) Odds

Once you know the vig, you can calculate the "true" fair odds by removing it:

No-Vig Formula

True Prob = Implied Prob ÷ Total Overround

Then convert back to American odds

Example: -110 / -110

• Side 1 implied: 52.38% → True: 52.38% ÷ 104.76% = 50.00%

• Side 2 implied: 52.38% → True: 52.38% ÷ 104.76% = 50.00%

• No-vig odds: +100 / +100 (even money)

Why True Odds Matter

Knowing the true odds helps you find value. If you believe a team has a 55% chance to cover, but the true odds imply 50%, you have a +EV bet. Use our True Odds Calculator to instantly strip the vig.

Pro Tips for Minimizing Vig

1

Line Shop Every Bet

Check 3-5 sportsbooks for every bet. The difference between -110 and -105 is significant over time. Use our Odds Comparison Tool.

2

Stick to Main Markets

Spreads and totals have the lowest vig. Exotic props and parlays have much higher margins. Only bet props when you have a real edge.

3

Seek Reduced Juice Promotions

Many books offer reduced juice (-105) on select games or markets. BetRivers has -109 standard. These promotions add up significantly.

4

Avoid High-Vig Markets

Futures (especially early season) and exotic props can have 20-40% vig. Calculate the vig before betting these markets.

5

Consider Sharp Books

If you can get accounts at sharp books (Pinnacle, Circa), their 2-3% vig will save you thousands over time. They're harder to beat but offer better value.

Common Mistakes to Avoid

Ignoring vig on parlays

The vig compounds with each leg. A 4-leg parlay at -110 per leg has ~17% total vig, not 4 × 4.5%. Parlay calculators often hide this.

Only checking one sportsbook

The difference between -115 and -105 is huge over time. Always compare at least 3 books before placing any bet.

Betting high-vig props without edge

Player props often have 8-10% vig. Unless you have specific knowledge or a model, you're fighting an uphill battle.

Chasing odds boosts without checking value

Many "boosted" odds still have significant vig baked in. Use our Odds Boost Calculator to verify true value.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the standard vig on a sports bet?

The standard vig on point spreads and totals is about 4.55% (implied by -110 odds on both sides). Some sportsbooks offer reduced juice at -105, which is only 2.44% vig. Player props typically have 5-8% vig, while futures can have 15-30% or more.

Does lower vig guarantee better results?

Lower vig improves your long-term expectation but doesn't guarantee profits. It means you need to win a lower percentage to break even. At -110, you need 52.38% winners. At -105, only 51.22%. Over thousands of bets, this difference is significant.

Which sportsbooks have the lowest vig?

Sharp books like Pinnacle, Circa, and Bookmaker typically offer the lowest vig (2-3%). Among retail books, BetRivers, Caesars, and some DraftKings markets offer reduced juice. Always compare odds across multiple books for each bet.

How does vig affect my break-even percentage?

Your break-even percentage = Implied Probability of your side. At -110, you need to win 52.38% to break even. At -105, only 51.22%. At +100 (no vig), exactly 50%. Every percentage point matters over the long run.

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