NHL Corsi/Fenwick Calculator
Advanced NHL possession metrics and expected goals analysis for hockey betting
Your Team
Opponent
Team CF%
52.4%
Opp CF%
52.0%
Possession Edge
Even Possession
Team Win Prob
53%
Team xG
2.75
Opp xG
2.55
Projected Total
5.30
Total Recommendation
LEAN UNDER
xG Total: 5.30 vs Line: 6 (-0.70)
NHL Advanced Metrics Guide
Corsi and Fenwick are shot-based possession metrics that correlate strongly with long-term NHL success. Combined with expected goals (xG), these metrics provide a more accurate picture of team quality than standings or traditional stats.
Key Metrics
- Corsi For % (CF%): Shot attempts for / total shot attempts. 50%+ = controlling play.
- Fenwick: Like Corsi but excludes blocked shots. Better predictor of actual shots on goal.
- Expected Goals (xG): Goal probability based on shot location and type. More predictive than actual goals.
- PDO: Shooting% + Save%. Regresses to 100, so extreme PDO teams will regress.
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