NHL Corsi/Fenwick Calculator
Advanced NHL possession metrics and expected goals analysis for hockey betting
Your Team
Opponent
Team CF%
52.4%
Opp CF%
52.0%
Possession Edge
Even Possession
Team Win Prob
53%
Team xG
2.75
Opp xG
2.55
Projected Total
5.30
Total Recommendation
LEAN UNDER
xG Total: 5.30 vs Line: 6 (-0.70)
NHL Advanced Metrics Guide
Corsi and Fenwick are shot-based possession metrics that correlate strongly with long-term NHL success. Combined with expected goals (xG), these metrics provide a more accurate picture of team quality than standings or traditional stats.
Key Metrics
- Corsi For % (CF%): Shot attempts for / total shot attempts. 50%+ = controlling play.
- Fenwick: Like Corsi but excludes blocked shots. Better predictor of actual shots on goal.
- Expected Goals (xG): Goal probability based on shot location and type. More predictive than actual goals.
- PDO: Shooting% + Save%. Regresses to 100, so extreme PDO teams will regress.
This calculator is for informational and educational purposes only. Results should be verified with your sportsbook before placing any wagers. All betting carries risk. Full Disclaimer
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