Mastering NFL Teasers: The Wong Teaser Guide
The data-driven approach to profitable NFL teasers. Learn why teasing through key numbers 3 and 7 gives you a mathematical edge that's stood the test of time.
Teaser Tools & Calculators
Teaser Calculator
Calculate teaser payouts for any number of legs
Spread Calculator
Understand point spread betting fundamentals
Parlay Calculator
Compare teaser vs parlay payouts
Expected Value Calculator
Calculate the EV of your teaser bets
Alternate Lines Calculator
Evaluate buying points vs standard teasers
NFL Weather Dashboard
Factor weather into teaser totals
What is a Teaser Bet?
A teaser is a type of parlay where you get to adjust the point spread in your favor on every leg. The trade-off? You receive worse odds than a standard parlay. Think of it as buying points in bulk at a discount.
Standard Spread Bet
Chiefs -7.5 (-110)
Chiefs must win by 8+ points
6-Point Teaser Leg
Chiefs -1.5 (teased from -7.5)
Chiefs must win by 2+ points
Standard NFL Teaser Payouts
| Teams | 6 Points | 6.5 Points | 7 Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Teams | -110 | -120 | -130 |
| 3 Teams | +160 | +140 | +120 |
| 4 Teams | +260 | +240 | +220 |
| 5 Teams | +400 | +360 | +320 |
* 6-point teasers highlighted as the recommended option for Wong teaser strategy
Why Key Numbers 3 and 7 Matter
In NFL betting, not all numbers are created equal. Certain margins of victory occur far more frequently due to the scoring structure (3 for a field goal, 7 for a touchdown + PAT). Understanding this is the foundation of profitable teaser betting.
NFL Margin of Victory Distribution (Historical)
Key Insight: Nearly 25% of all NFL games land on either 3 or 7. When you tease through both numbers, you're capturing the two most common outcomes.
What is a Wong Teaser?
Named after gambling author Stanford Wong who popularized the concept in his book "Sharp Sports Betting," a Wong teaser is a 6-point NFL teaser that specifically crosses both key numbers 3 and 7.
The Wong Teaser Rules
Favorites -7.5 to -8.5: Tease down to -1.5 to -2.5 (crosses through 7, 6, 5, 4, 3)
Underdogs +1.5 to +2.5: Tease up to +7.5 to +8.5 (crosses through 3, 4, 5, 6, 7)
2-team teasers only: Keep it simple with -110 odds
Wong Teaser Sweet Spots
Qualifying Favorites
-7.5 → teases to -1.5
-8 → teases to -2
-8.5 → teases to -2.5
Qualifying Underdogs
+1.5 → teases to +7.5
+2 → teases to +8
+2.5 → teases to +8.5
The Math Behind Wong Teasers
Break-Even Win Rate Analysis
For a 2-team teaser at -110 odds, each leg must win at the following rate to break even:
Required Win Rate Per Leg
72.4%
√(1.10/2.10) = 0.724 or 72.4%
| Teaser Type | Historical Win % | vs Break-Even | Expected Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wong Teaser (crosses 3 & 7) | ~73-74% | +0.6% to +1.6% | +EV |
| Crosses only 3 OR 7 | ~70-71% | -1.4% to -2.4% | -EV |
| Crosses neither 3 nor 7 | ~68% | -4.4% | -EV |
| Random teaser legs | ~69% | -3.4% | -EV |
Important: These percentages are based on historical NFL data. While Wong teasers have shown profitability over large sample sizes, they are not guaranteed wins. Proper bankroll management remains essential.
Wong Teaser Examples
Classic Wong Teaser - Two Favorites
Original Line
Chiefs -7.5
Teased to: Chiefs -1.5
Original Line
Eagles -8
Teased to: Eagles -2
6-Point, 2-Team Teaser
$100 stake at -110
Potential Profit
$90.91
Both legs cross through 7, 6, 5, 4, and 3 - capturing maximum key number value.
Wong Teaser - Favorite + Underdog
Original Line
Bills -8.5
Teased to: Bills -2.5
Original Line
Broncos +2
Teased to: Broncos +8
6-Point, 2-Team Teaser
$100 stake at -110
Potential Profit
$90.91
Mixing a qualifying favorite with a qualifying underdog - both legs cross 3 and 7.
Non-Wong Teaser (Lower EV)
Original Line
Ravens -3
Teased to: Ravens +3
Only crosses 3, not 7
Original Line
49ers -10
Teased to: 49ers -4
Only crosses 7, not 3
Neither leg qualifies as a Wong teaser. Historical win rates for non-Wong teasers are below the 72.4% threshold needed for profitability.
Advanced Wong Teaser Strategies
1. Sweetheart Teasers (10-Point Teasers)
Some books offer "sweetheart" or "monster" teasers with 10+ points. While tempting, the reduced odds (often -140 to -150 for 2 teams) rarely compensate for the extra points. Stick to 6-point teasers for optimal value.
2. Totals in Teasers
While you can tease totals, the key number advantage doesn't apply. NFL totals don't cluster around specific numbers like spreads do around 3 and 7. If you must include a total, research shows teasing unders has slightly better historical results.
3. 3-Team Teasers
At +160 odds, a 3-team teaser requires each leg to win 68.4% of the time. If you can find three qualifying Wong legs in a single week, it can be profitable - but opportunities are rare. Most sharp bettors stick to 2-team teasers for consistency.
4. Line Shopping for Teasers
Different books may have a team at -7 vs -7.5. That half-point difference determines whether a leg qualifies as a Wong teaser. Always check multiple books to find qualifying lines - a -7.5 that teases to -1.5 is worth far more than a -7 that teases to -1.
Common Wong Teaser Mistakes
Forcing non-qualifying legs
If there's only one qualifying Wong leg in a week, don't force it. Wait for weeks with two+ qualifying legs. Patience is key.
Using 6.5 or 7-point teasers
The extra half-point or point rarely adds enough value to justify the worse odds (-120 or -130 vs -110). Stick to 6-point teasers.
Teasing through only one key number
A team at -4 teased to +2 only crosses through 3, not 7. This doesn't qualify as a Wong teaser and historically underperforms.
Overbetting teasers
Even +EV bets can lose. Size your teaser bets appropriately - most experts recommend 1-2% of bankroll per teaser maximum.
Ignoring line movement
A line that opens at -7.5 but moves to -9 may indicate sharp action against you. Consider why the line moved before teasing.
Calculate Your Teaser Payouts
Use our free Teaser Calculator to see exact payouts for 2-6 team teasers at 6, 6.5, or 7 points. Know your potential profit before placing any bet.
Open Teaser CalculatorFrequently Asked Questions
What is a Wong teaser?
A Wong teaser is a 6-point NFL teaser that crosses both key numbers 3 and 7. Named after gambling author Stanford Wong, it involves teasing favorites of -7.5 to -8.5 down through 7 and 3, or underdogs of +1.5 to +2.5 up through 3 and 7. Historical data shows these teasers have the highest win rates.
Why are 3 and 7 key numbers in NFL betting?
Approximately 15% of NFL games end with a 3-point margin (field goal) and 9% end with a 7-point margin (touchdown). Combined, nearly 25% of games land on these two numbers, making them the most common margins of victory. Teasing through these numbers significantly increases your win probability.
What is the win rate for Wong teasers?
Historical data shows properly constructed Wong teasers win approximately 72-74% of the time. To break even on a standard 2-team teaser at -110, you need each leg to win 72.4% of the time. Wong teasers that cross both 3 and 7 historically meet or exceed this threshold.
Should I use 6, 6.5, or 7-point teasers?
6-point teasers offer the best value for Wong teasers because they provide optimal payouts (-110) while still crossing both key numbers 3 and 7. The extra half-point or full point in 6.5 or 7-point teasers rarely adds enough value to justify the reduced payout.
Can you tease totals in NFL?
Yes, but totals teasers are generally not recommended. Unlike point spreads, totals don't have key numbers as pronounced as 3 and 7. The mathematical edge that makes Wong teasers profitable doesn't apply to totals in the same way.
Do Wong teasers work in NBA?
No, Wong teasers are NFL-specific. NBA games don't have the same key number distribution because the scoring structure is different (2s and 3s vs field goals and touchdowns). NBA teasers are generally considered -EV regardless of the spread.
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