Same-Game Parlay Correlation Calculator
Analyze same-game parlay (SGP) correlations to find fair value. Understand how bet type combinations affect true odds and identify when sportsbooks are overcharging.
Same-Game Parlay Strategy
Same-game parlays are popular because outcomes in a single game are correlated. If a team wins big, their star player likely had a good game. Sportsbooks know this and typically reduce SGP payouts by 10-20%.
Finding value: Look for SGPs where books don't fully account for positive correlation. If your legs are more correlated than the book assumes, you may have +EV despite the SGP penalty.
Avoid: Combining spread and moneyline in SGPs - they're nearly identical bets with ~90% correlation. Books love when bettors do this.
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Responsible Gambling
Gambling should be entertaining, not a way to make money. Only bet what you can afford to lose, and never chase your losses.
- Betting more than you can afford to lose
- Chasing losses with bigger bets
- Lying to others about gambling habits