UFC Style Matchup Analyzer
Analyze striker vs grappler dynamics and predict fight outcomes based on style matchups
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
Classic striker vs grappler matchup. Key is F1's takedown defense.
Fight Location Prediction
Standing
55%
Ground
45%
Domain Advantages
Striking
F1
Grappling
F1
Model Win Prob
67.2%
Fighter 1
Market Implied
60.0%
Edge
+7.2%
Key Matchup Stats
F2 Expected TD Success vs F1
14.3%
F1 Expected TD Success vs F2
15.7%
UFC Style Matchup Analysis
MMA is fundamentally about style matchups. A great striker can lose to a mediocre grappler if they can't stop takedowns. This calculator analyzes where the fight is likely to take place and who has the advantage in each domain.
Style Matchup Guide
- Striker vs Grappler: Classic MMA puzzle. If TDD is 75%+, striker usually wins. Below 65%, grappler controls.
- Wrestler vs BJJ: Wrestlers often neutralize BJJ by controlling top position without engaging submissions.
- Pressure vs Counter: High-volume pressure can overwhelm counter strikers, but counters land cleaner.
- Size/Reach: Combine with reach calculator - longer fighters prefer standing, shorter fighters often grapple.
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