NFL Red Zone Efficiency Calculator
Analyze team red zone performance to predict scoring efficiency and adjust spread/total expectations
Offensive Red Zone
Defensive Red Zone (Opponents)
Understanding NFL Red Zone Efficiency
Red zone efficiency is one of the most predictive metrics in NFL betting. Teams that consistently convert red zone trips into touchdowns rather than field goals score significantly more points. The average NFL team converts about 56-57% of red zone trips into touchdowns.
Key Metrics Explained
- TD Rate: Percentage of red zone trips that result in touchdowns. Elite offenses exceed 65%.
- Points Per Trip: Average points scored per red zone opportunity. League average is around 4.85.
- Scoring Rate: Percentage of trips resulting in any score (TD or FG). Good teams are above 85%.
- Defensive Efficiency: How well a team prevents opponents from scoring in the red zone.
Betting Applications
Red zone efficiency differences can help identify value on game totals and team totals. A team that is elite in the red zone facing a poor red zone defense creates potential over value, while two teams that struggle to finish drives may push totals under.
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