NFL Weather Impact Calculator

Adjust NFL game totals and analyze weather effects on passing, kicking, and overall scoring

Weather Conditions

Original Total

45

Adjustment

-0.5

Adjusted Total

44.5

Weather Factors:

Moderate Wind (10-14 mph)-0.5 pts

Passing Game Impact

Moderate

Kicking Impact

Moderate

Expected Game Script

Normal game script expected

How Weather Affects NFL Betting

Weather is one of the most underrated factors in NFL betting. Wind speeds above 15 mph significantly impact passing games and field goal accuracy. Cold temperatures affect ball grip and player mobility. Heavy precipitation can reduce scoring by 5+ points. Our calculator uses historical data to quantify these effects and help you find value on totals in adverse conditions.

Key Weather Thresholds

  • Wind 15+ mph: Expect 10-15% reduction in passing attempts and accuracy
  • Wind 20+ mph: Field goals over 40 yards become unreliable (<60% success)
  • Temperature below 32°F: Ball fumbles increase, deep passes less effective
  • Snow/Heavy Rain: Running game dominates, expect 20-30% fewer pass plays

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Responsible Gambling

Gambling should be entertaining, not a way to make money. Only bet what you can afford to lose, and never chase your losses.

Signs of problem gambling:
  • Betting more than you can afford to lose
  • Chasing losses with bigger bets
  • Lying to others about gambling habits