MLB Synthetic -1 Run Line Calculator

Create a synthetic -1 run line bet by combining moneyline and -1.5 run line wagers. Get a push on 1-run wins instead of a loss.

Synthetic -1 Run Line Calculator

What is a Synthetic -1 Run Line?

A synthetic -1 run line is a betting strategy that combines a moneyline bet with a -1.5 run line bet to create a wager that effectively functions as a -1 run line. This is useful because most sportsbooks only offer -1.5 run lines, not -1.

Why use this strategy? In MLB, approximately 30% of games are decided by exactly one run. With a standard -1.5 run line, a 1-run victory results in a loss. By creating a synthetic -1, you convert that scenario into a push (you get your money back), only winning on 2+ run victories.

How It Works

The calculator determines the exact stake split between the moneyline and -1.5 run line bets so that:

  • Win by 2+ runs: Both bets win - maximum profit
  • Win by exactly 1 run: ML wins, RL loses - break even (push)
  • Lose or tie: Both bets lose - total stake lost

This is a legitimate betting technique used by sharp bettors who want to reduce variance while still backing favorites. It's particularly valuable when you like a team but don't trust them to cover the full 1.5 runs.

This calculator is for informational and educational purposes only. Results should be verified with your sportsbook before placing any wagers. All betting carries risk. Full Disclaimer

How to Use This Calculator

  1. 1
    Enter Moneyline Odds: Input the current moneyline odds for your team (e.g., -150)
  2. 2
    Enter -1.5 Run Line Odds: Input the -1.5 run line odds (e.g., +130)
  3. 3
    Set Total Stake: Enter your total combined wager amount
  4. 4
    View Stake Split: Calculator shows exact amounts to bet on each side
  5. 5
    Understand Outcomes: See payouts for 1-run wins, 2+ run wins, and losses

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a synthetic -1 run line?

A synthetic -1 run line is created by combining a moneyline bet with a -1.5 run line bet in specific proportions. This creates an outcome where you push (get your money back) on 1-run wins, win on 2+ run wins, and lose only on losses or ties.

Why would I want a -1 run line?

Many sportsbooks only offer -1.5 run lines, not -1. If you like a team but think they might win by exactly 1 run, a synthetic -1 protects you from that scenario by converting it to a push instead of a loss.

Is this legal?

Yes, absolutely. You're simply placing two separate legal bets that, when combined, create a different risk profile. This is a common strategy used by sharp bettors.

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Responsible Gambling

Gambling should be entertaining, not a way to make money. Only bet what you can afford to lose, and never chase your losses.

Signs of problem gambling:
  • Betting more than you can afford to lose
  • Chasing losses with bigger bets
  • Lying to others about gambling habits