Line Mismatch FinderBETA
Hot/cold streaks vs current prop lines
Frequently Asked Questions
What is a line mismatch?
A line mismatch occurs when a player's recent performance significantly differs from their current prop line. For example, if a player is averaging 28 PPG over their last 5 games but the line is set at 23.5, that's a +4.5 point mismatch suggesting the OVER has value.
How do you calculate the gap?
We compare the player's average over their last 5 games to their current prop line. The gap is simply: Recent Average - Current Line. A positive gap suggests OVER value, while a negative gap suggests UNDER value.
Why do mismatches happen?
Sportsbooks set lines based on season averages and projected matchups. When a player goes on a hot or cold streak, books are often slow to adjust. This creates temporary windows of value that sharp bettors can exploit.
What makes a high confidence pick?
High confidence mismatches have: 1) A large gap (5+ points for scoring props), 2) Consistency in the recent games (4/5 games over/under the line), 3) A clear trend direction without outliers.
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